
Evaluating Tax-Exempt Funds
With yields at upper levels and inflation falling, I sold a poor-performing stock to buy two Tax-Exempt yoke funds. In this article, I squint at municipal money market and yoke funds for tax-efficient accounts. I began this search by looking at funds that are misogynist at Fidelity or Vanguard with no transaction fees. I remoter based the selection on both longer and shorter performance relative to peers, Fund Family Rating, Fidelity Fund Picks, and Morningstar Ratings among other factors.
This vendible is divided into the pursuit sections:
- Section 1, Tax Implications of Municipal Bonds
- Section 2, Financial Planning
- Section 3, Recession Watch
- Section 4, Tax Exempt Money Market Funds
- Section 5, Municipal Short-Term Debt
- Section 6, Municipal Short-Intermediate Term Debt
- Section 7, Municipal Intermediate Term Debt
- Section 8, Municipal General & Insured Debt
- Section 9, Comparison of Short-Listed Funds
TAX IMPLICATIONS OF MUNICIPAL BONDS
Municipal immuration (and funds) are exempt from federal taxes. J.B. Maverick describes in “How Are Municipal Immuration Taxed?” at Investopedia some aspects of taxes on municipal bonds. The key points are:
Municipal immuration are debt securities issued by state, city, and county governments to help imbricate spending needs.
From an investor’s perspective, munis are interesting considering they are not taxable on the federal level and often not taxable at the state level.
Munis are often favored by investors in high-income tax brackets considering of the tax advantages.
If an investor buys the muni immuration of flipside state, their home state may tax interest income from the bond.
It is salubrious to trammels the tax implications of each specific municipal yoke surpassing subtracting one to your portfolio, as you might be unpleasantly surprised by unexpected tax bills on any wanted gains.
FINANCIAL PLANNING
Financial Planners try to wastefulness multiple goals, which may include income security, transferring inheritance, gifting, and/or taxes. One factor that impacts me is the desire to convert a Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA in a tax-efficient manner (2023 Tax Rates). The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017 will elapse (sunset) at the end of 2025, and taxes are likely to revert higher in 2026. This creates a window of opportunity for me while deferring social security, and my income is low.
Medicare Premiums are based on Modified Adjusted Gross Income levels, which include non-taxable Social Security income and tax-exempt interest. I calculated a target value for a Roth Conversion to wastefulness taxes with higher Medicare premiums.
I moreover ran a break-even wringer to determine that family social security benefits will be higher if I uncork drawing benefits at age 69 instead of deferring until I reach age 70. The reason is that my wife falls under the Social Security Government Offset Provision (GOP), which reduces her Spousal and Survivor benefits by two-thirds. She can only yank spousal benefits once I have started drawing mine, and they are based on my full retirement stage and don’t include a higher value for me deferring until age 70.
These factors combined are an incentive to alimony taxable income low, and tax-exempt funds are part of my financial plan. As a final note, I have once matched fixed-income ladders with withdrawal needs such as Required Minimum Distributions for Traditional IRAs.
RECESSION WATCH
The forecast from the Conference Board calls for a recession, while the Philadelphia Fed Survey of Professional Forecasters implies a “soft landing” with slowing growth. Real Consumer Spending finance for well-nigh seventy percent of GDP and has been relatively unappetizing for the past two years while government expenditures have been rising and helped swimmies the economy. Whether the US experiences a “soft landing” or a recession remains to be seen, but growth is likely to slow and market volatility to increase. The New York Federal Reserve estimates the probability of a recession occurring during the first seven months of 2024 to be higher than fifty percent based on the yield curve.
Figure #1: Real GDP Estimates
REAL GDP | |||
Year | Quarter | Conference Board | Philadelphia Fed Reserve Survey |
2023 | Q2 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
Q3 | 1.3 | 1.9 | |
Q4 | -1.0 | 1.2 | |
2024 | Q1 | -0.8 | 1.1 |
Q2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |
Q3 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
Easy monetary policy has driven up windfall prices. Over the past decade, there have been so many reasons presented describing why the stock market was not overvalued, such as low interest rates and inflation. I have incorporated some of these methodologies into my Valuation Indicator, where 1 is very favorable, and -1 is very unfavorable. With money market funds paying 5% and intermediate Treasuries paying over 4%, yoke funds protract to be lulu relative to stocks, in my opinion. Of course, investors should maintain diversified portfolios.
Figure #2: Author’s Valuation Indicator
Stocks outperform immuration over sufficiently long periods of time. I prefer a tilt toward immuration over the intermediate term considering of a likely economic slow-down or recession, upper probity valuations, and upper yields with falling inflation.
TAX-EXEMPT MONEY MARKET FUNDS
Tax-exempt money market funds may be suitable for investors concerned well-nigh taxes, particularly when rates are rising, as well as for meeting short-term expenses. Since rates towards to be plateauing, longer-term funds might be largest located in yoke funds with longer durations.
Fidelity Tax-Exempt Money Market Fund (FDEXX) has a seven-day yield of 2.51%, while the premium version (FZEXX) has a seven-day yield of 2.99%. The Vanguard Municipal Money Market Fund (VMSXX) has a seven-day yield of 3.15%. By comparison, Treasury money market funds like FZFXX have a seven-day yield of nearly 5%. Tax-exempt funds are increasingly workable to those in higher income brackets.
Table #1: Money Market Tax-Exempt (YTD)
MUNICIPAL SHORT-TERM DEBT
Short-term municipal immuration will often be less volatile than yoke funds with longer durations. Currently, they are benefiting from upper yields from an inverted yield curve. Yields on Treasuries with durations less than two years are often higher than five percent. These will goody to a small extent as yields start to normalize. Yields on these short-term municipal yoke funds range from 2.87% to 3.46%.
Table #2: Municipal Short Debt (YTD)
MUNICIPAL SHORT-INTERMEDIATE TERM DEBT
Short-intermediate term yoke funds may be suitable for someone who does like the volatility of higher elapsing yoke funds.
Table #3: Municipal Short-Intermediate Debt (YTD)
MUNICIPAL INTERMEDIATE TERM DEBT
Yields on intermediate immuration are lower than most short-term yoke funds considering of inverted yield curves. Buying intermediate yoke funds may be salubrious for investors wishing to lock in yields for longer periods and will goody increasingly than short-duration yoke funds when yields start to fall, as happens when the economy slows. This is one of the Lipper Categories that I am most interested in.
Each of the Municipal Intermediate Funds shown in Table #4 are quality funds. USATX is misogynist at Fidelity with a transaction fee. Vanguard’s VWITX has an expense ratio advantage, followed by MMIT. For convenience in an worth at Fidelity and low expense ratio, I like FLTMX and MMIT. For long term performance, I like EALTX.
Table #4: Municipal Intermediate Debt (YTD)
MUNICIPAL GENERAL & INSURED DEBT
General & Insured Municipal Debt Funds are those that often invest in the top four credit ratings. I favor this category in this environment, in wing to intermediate yoke funds. Again, Table #5 contains quality funds. For a Fidelity account, I favor FTABX for its long-term performance and for its low fees, followed by TAXF.
Table #5: Municipal General and Insured Debt (YTD)
COMPARISON OF SHORT-LISTED FUNDS
Table #6 and Figure #3 are comparisons of the Municipal Intermediate and General & Insured Debt funds that I identified in this article.
Table #6: Comparison of Author’s Short-Listed Funds
Figure #3: Comparison of Author’s Short-Listed Funds
For tax-exempt yoke funds in a Fidelity account, I favor the Fidelity Tax-Free Yoke Fund (FTABX) and American Century Diversified Municipal Yoke ETF (TAXF). FTABX has a minimum investment of $25,000. FLTMX is a good volitional with a lower minimum investment.
Closing Thoughts
As a result of writing this article, I invested in Fidelity Tax-Free Yoke Fund (FTABX). I moreover bought a single-state municipal yoke where I live considering interest will be deductible from state income taxes.